PASADENA (CBSLA.com) — If scientists at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena are correct, a moderately-sized earthquake is expected within the next two-and-a-half years.
JPL experts predict a possible 5.0 magnitude quake in Los Angeles, but say it very well could be stronger. JPL geophysicist Dr. Andrea Donnellan, along with seven other scientists, has been using radar and GPS to measure Southern California’s chances for a sizable earthquake, and has made a sobering hypothesis about another big one.
What part of “Aeronautics and Space does the National Aeronautics and Space Administration not understand? And is this the same outfit that predicted after Katrina that we would have dozens of off-the-charts hurricanes pounding the United States for the forseeable future? We haven’t had any, for ten years.
The thing that totally blows me away about the prediction is that the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (yes, jet propulsion, as in, I presume, tectonic plates blasting across the interior surface of the Earth at the speed of sound, or something) used radar and GPS to base their predictions on. Radar, friends, is radio signals that are bounced off objects in space or on the surface of the earth, and GPS is radio signals beamed to and from satellites. Call me unstudied, but I get the feeling it’s a stretch to think these devices would be much use in detecting deep movements underground.
Maybe I’m wrong but, in the same article, there’s this:
Seismologists at the US Geological Survey have questioned that probability, suggesting it may in fact be slightly lower, stating: “…the accepted random chance of a (magnitude five) or greater in this area in three years is 85 percent, independent of the analysis in this paper.”
USGS uses different methods from radar and GPS, such as fault maps and models, to develop their results.
There we go! Our good old standby guys at the USGS, the ones who have been advising us about earthquakes since San Francisco shook like crazy a hundred years ago. The ones that actually study geological faults and, although not mentioned here, use seismometers
instead of radar.
Okay, I may be a bit oversensitive on this thing, but ever since the head of NASA came out a few years ago and said one of their primary missions was MUSLIM OUTREACH I have looked at them somewhat askance. Yes, USGS says there is a chance that LA will have a quake, but there is also a chance a hurricane will strike the US again. Things happen. The point is the hype, and doffing a cap to put on another one that doesn’t quite fit, or stepping out of character to push a socio-political meme. Why can’t people just do what they’re supposed to do?
Which brings me to what really got my goat today. The American Cancer Society has come out and said “Don’t worry your pretty heads too much about breast cancer, girls. Chances are you’ll be just fine.”
)—In a move sure to befuddle women — and anger some breast cancer survivors — the American Cancer Society has issued new guidelines saying less screening for breast cancer is better than more.
The venerated cancer organization says women should start getting mammograms at 45 instead of 40, and that everyone can skip the routine manual breast checks by doctors.
So we just cancel out the last several decades worth of preventive medicine research and practice because it may be unnecessary? The ACS now has as it’s raison d’etre …..what? Kind of like the mainline Christian churches these days, if you know what I mean.
Please read the entire article on why the ACS is telling everybody to just relax and procrastinate a little bit. Especially read the part where they talk about mammograms and other diagnostic procedures actually doing “harm”.
I read that part and thought Whoa! My wife (a breast cancer survivor, full disclosure here) talks about the dratted uncomfortableness of it, but are they actually causing internal bleeding, mini heart attacks, blood clots…..what?
Turns out, this is the “harm” they’re talking about:
There’s the risk of a false positive, plus the risk that a mammogram could catch a very small breast cancer that will go away on its own, or never progress to the point that it hurts a woman. In other words, a mammogram could catch a tumor that isn’t really worth catching.
But since doctors can’t reliably discern the harmful from the harmless cancers, they treat them all. This means some women are getting potentially harmful treatments, such as radiation, chemotherapy and surgery, when their tumor would never have caused a problem, Brawley says.
“… some women are getting potentially harmful treatments,…” Gee, that’s pretty scientific terminology there,isn’t it? “Some” and “Potentially”. Well, if you’re pondering the “potentials”, kids, what about the ‘potential’ OF RADICAL MASTECTOMY OR DEATH?
So where is this whole “No worries” attitude coming from? Here:
Six years ago, the federal government’s Preventive Services Task Force caused a furor when it declared that women in their 40s didn’t need to get routine mammograms.
That’s right- the infamous “Task Force”, predecessor to the infamous “Death Panels” a highly visible woman who used to be a governor warned us about. Nobody talks or writes about them anymore, since the loyal opposition in Congress has forsaken repealing Obamacare and is dutifully trying to ease the populace through the transition to Nationalized Health Care. But again, as in the case of NASA, why does the American Cancer Society want to deny it’s reason for existence. Why parrot some politically correct meme? Has everybody gone bonkers, or is it just me?
[Did we mention that, while the whole world, from the European Union countries to the Middle East, to sub-Saharan Africa seemed to be boiling over and coming apart, the US State Department busied itself with determining the environmental impact of the Keystone Pipeline? I did not make that up.]
Is the NFL going to reduce itself to a flag football league? Is NASCAR going to give the cold shoulder to fossil fuels and go totally “bio”? Is Robert Gates, (former Secretary of the formerly rough-and-ready US Department of Defense who now is president of the Boy Scouts of America) serious when he says we might as well get used to a future with “gay” scoutmasters? Does the US military plan to continue it’s recruiting campaign looking for sensitive types who want to be mentors and Big Brothers and Sisters to third world terrorist wannabe’s who just can’t find gainful employment, according to our State Department and UN Representatives, while at the same time saving the Earth from ‘Climate Change’? Will the Catholic Church go totally mainstream and sanction homosexual marriage?
When was it that I strapped myself into a Time Machine and zoomed at warp speed into a strange and surreal future? I don’t remember doing that. This is not “Life in These United States” which we all knew and loved and which stood us so well for so long, is it? I do not recognize these creatures, these zombies, who used to be adventurers, scientists, explorers, technicians, builders, soldiers, doctors and teachers. Professionals who strove to be the best they could be, at whatever it was they were. Have they been totally brow-beaten by the Socialists and the Memestream Media into irrational fear and self-loathing?
It must be me. The whole world can’t have gone completely bonkers. I think I must need counseling, or therapy. Oh…wait…are those corrective or….preventive….measures? What would the Task Force say? Anybody at NASA I can talk to? Maybe an audience with the Pope. I hear he’s eminently reasonable and open to anybody and anything these days, even secular humanism. Help.
Crossposted at Grumpy Opinions