June Brides And June Primaries
Many think of June and then think June Bride. This year it also is a month when 18 states are holding primaries. Expect spin to be in full force this month about whether or not tea party movement is dead. It’s not by the way. There will definitely be changes due to retirement to who is elected to seats in the House and Senate. The primaries include elections for 3 open US Senate seats in Iowa, Oklahoma, and South Dakota. They also include elections for 20 open US House seats. These seats include in Alabama 6th, in California 11th, 25th, 31st, 33rd, 35th, and 45th, in Iowa 1st and 3rd, in Montana at-large, in New Jersey 1st, 3rd, and 12th, in Maine 2nd, in Virginia 8th and 10th, in Colorado 4th, in New York 4th and 21st, in Oklahoma 5th and in Utah 4th. More difficult, but delicious to consider, are the GOP incumbents who have a serious challenger in their primary.
Starting on Tuesday, June 3rd are primaries in Alabama, California, Iowa, Mississippi, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota. Alabama 6th is going to be the most hotly contested race in Alabama, but there are primary challengers in Alabama 3rd and Alabama 5th. California does their primary differently. The top two vote getters in each contest are slated for the general election with no regard for political party affiliation. There are 11 of the 53 US House districts that only have two candidates, but the other 42 are a free for all battle. We should not just write off all of California. It’s not all movie stars and computer industry. There is the other poor region of California hurting for water rights and not interested in high speed rail going between Sacremento and Merced. The Republican primary for US Senate is the most important race in Iowa, Montana, South Dakota, New Mexico, and in Mississippi. Mississippi could be the second time for an incumbent to be primaried. The first time in 2014 is the defeat of Ralph Hall in Texas 4th.
On Tuesday, June 10th there are primaries in Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina, and Virginia. North Dakota nominees are already set for the general election. The most watched races are going to be the Republican primary for US Senate in South Carolina between incumbent Lindsey Graham and six challengers and the Republican primary in Virginia 7th between incumbent Majority Leader Eric Cantor and challenger Dave Brat. These are two more times that an incumbent could be primaried. South Carolina has a runoff primary on June 24th if no candidate receives at least 50% of the vote.
On Tuesday, June 24th there are primaries in Colorado, Maryland, New York, Oklahoma, and Utah. The Utah primary is not needed for the US House nominees because all four received over 60% of the convention delegates support to avoid a primary contest between the top two vote getters. The most watched contest in Oklahoma will be the Republican US Senate primary between Jim Lankford and T.W.Shannon.
There is a saying ‘Always a bridesmaid, never a bride.’ Some in the liar media say this is the way it is for black Republicans. Of course the facts in South Carolina, Florida, Oklahoma, Connecticut, and Massachusetts refute this assertion. It’s easier in the more conservative states for black Republicans to win elections because the liberal state voters want big government to protect and hedge against losses that happen in a free market. Kevin Williams at NRO explains in his latest column how they are not irrational just erroneous in their thinking. The reason we mention this is that there are many black Republican candidates that could win nominations in June and join South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott in DC. We already have 4 black Republican nominees, Vince Coakley in NC-12, Will Hurd in TX-23, Micah Edmond in VA-8, and Mia Love in UT-4. Those who could also win nominations in June include T.W.Shannon for US Senate in OK, Garry Cobb in NJ-1, Niger Innis in NV-4, Thomas Pinkston Harris in MD-3, Greg Holmes in MD-4, and Corrigan Vaughn in MD-7. The three in Oklahoma, Texas, and Utah are more likely to get elected than the other seven, but that has nothing to do with Republicans in those 7 liberal districts.
If you live in one of these states then please do not succumb to apathy and indifference. Stop sitting on the couch watching and waiting for the latest soap-opera script that has replaced news and get to the polls to vote. Bring like-minded voters along with you. Your vote does matter. We can’t get the change we need unless we change who we elect to send to DC.