Watching Primary Returns June 5, 2012


On Tuesday, June 5, 2012 primary elections are being held in New Jersey, New Mexico, Iowa, South Dakota, Montana, and California. The Wisconsin Governor recall election is also scheduled. All these states make it almost like a late Super Tuesday, but it’s not about the presidency. The most important returns to watch are in the Wisconsin Governor recall election. Wisconsin has been trending Republican, and the returns could mean very bad news for the Democrats.

The Republican primary race for the US Senate in New Mexico is also worth watching. This contest is between moderate establishment favorite former Congresswoman Heather Wilson and Tea Party grassroots conservative businessman Greg Sowards. I’m rooting for Sowards if for no other reason than to see Mitch McConnell have more heartburn.

California has a primary for 53 US House seats and 1 US Senate seat. The new rules in California are a travesty. All candidates, both party members and independents, participate in a non-partisan Primary. The top two vote getters, regardless of party affiliation, advance to the General Election. This opportunity for a 1-party ballot in the November general election is what I’d expect in a country like Cuba instead of the US. There is a likelihood that the top two vote getters for the US Senate contest will be Democrats. I’m not sure about the odds of any US House contest top two vote getters being Republican, but even so this shouldn’t be happening.

The Democrats are seeing California as their best hope for retaking a majority in the US House. They currently have 31 incumbents running for reelection, but four of them are running for two seats. They dream of 29 incumbents winning, picking up 9 open seats, and defeating incumbent Republicans Dan Lungren and Jeff Denham for a net Democrat gain of +6. My dream, and their nightmare, is that the 15 incumbent Republicans win along with picking up the 9 open seats for a net Republican gain of +5. The bottom line is that I am rooting for a Republican to be one of the top two vote getters in the nine open US House Seats. Below you’ll find a photo, name, and district description of the nine US House contests to check primary results on.

California’s 1st congressional district (from the Sierra Nevadas into the central valley region)

former state Senator Sam Aanestad

California’s 2nd congressional district (Marin, Mendocino, Humboldt, Del Norte, Sonoma, Trinity)

Daniel W. “Dan” Roberts

California’s 8th congressional district ( includes San Bernardino, Inyo, and Mono)

state Assemblyman Paul Cook

California’s 21st congressional district (Central Valley)

state Assemblyman David G. Valadao

California’s 26th congressional district (Ventura Oxnard)

state Senator Tony Strickland

California’s 29th congressional district (part of Los Angeles County)

David Hernandez

California’s 41st congressional district (Riverside Moreno Valley)

Riverside County Supervisor John F. Tavaglione

California’s 47th congressional district (Long Beach, Los Alamitos, Cypress)

Steve Foley

California’s 51st congressional district (Imperial County)

Michael Crimmins

I don’t live in California, but I have met some good people from there. All of California is not the land of fruits and nuts, but it’s sad to see how the state has deteriorated over the past 20 years. I will appreciate any additions, corrections, and opinions from my friends from California.

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I am retired after 36 years of being a state of Indiana employee. I enjoy writing and reading conservative blogs.
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I am retired after 36 years of being a state of Indiana employee. I enjoy writing and reading conservative blogs.

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Larry Mackie
June 4, 2012 11:36 am

I DO live in California and would be happy just to see a few ‘Decline to State’ candidates succeed in this primary. Republican wins are mostly a pipe dream.

June 5, 2012 6:29 pm

I was in the 40th and got gerrymandered into the new 47th. I live in Orange County and my new potential Rep lives in Long Beach-which is in LA County. How fubar is that….

E Pluribus Unum
June 5, 2012 7:13 pm

This is quite a full plate today. I didn’t really realize any of those were going on except WI. I’ll be tapped in all night. Let’s hope that in WI and CA, where Repubs and Dems square off against each other, that we can cast enough ballots to get beyond the margin of cheating.