Wednesday, September 22, 2021
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And then there were three….

Is it possible that we will awake one fine day in February, turn on the TV and hear these words?
It seems that the pundits have mainly locked themselves in a Gingrich vs. Romney scenario.  This may not reflect the reality of primary elections in the early months (until April), where the delegates will be allocated according to percentages of votes.

The result will be that some candidates will pick up a few delegates as there will be no winner take all.
It is assured that Ron Paul will get some delegates, but in no way has a chance to be nominated.  Of the others, barring a huge surprise Bachmann and Santorum will not receive enough money to continue.  This leaves Rick Perry.  He may do better in Iowa than anyone expects and then goes on to New Hampshire, South Carolina & Florida.  Once he goes south, horizons open up for him.  Perry has appeal  to Jim Demint´s base in South Carolina and Marco Rubio´s supporters in Florida.  I do not claim to be prescient, but this scenario creates an opening to allow Perry to continue on to friendly territory where he could join the erstwhile front runners at the head of the pack.

3 COMMENTS

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3 COMMENTS

  1. You may be right, Castor. Most analysis these days seems to focus on what happened yesterday versus what looms on the horizon. Perry is not running to be the President of Iowa or the President of New Hampshire.

  2. Perry’s opponents would be foolish to write him off yet. He won’t quit if he loses in Iowa, unlike Pawlenty. He has money and organization to go the long haul and he is truly our most consistently conservative candidate and has executive experience and success to back him up.

    I’m still firmly in the Perry camp and doing my best to persuade my friends/family to come along with me. It helps that Newt won’t even be on the ballot in MO. We are a Super Tuesday state, so we have some time. The bottom tier will be gone by then and we will essentially have Romney and Perry left standing. It should work out well for Perry.

  1. You may be right, Castor. Most analysis these days seems to focus on what happened yesterday versus what looms on the horizon. Perry is not running to be the President of Iowa or the President of New Hampshire.

  2. Perry’s opponents would be foolish to write him off yet. He won’t quit if he loses in Iowa, unlike Pawlenty. He has money and organization to go the long haul and he is truly our most consistently conservative candidate and has executive experience and success to back him up.

    I’m still firmly in the Perry camp and doing my best to persuade my friends/family to come along with me. It helps that Newt won’t even be on the ballot in MO. We are a Super Tuesday state, so we have some time. The bottom tier will be gone by then and we will essentially have Romney and Perry left standing. It should work out well for Perry.

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