George Will has been on a kick recently – worrying about the GOP nominee for President being “too southern.”
There’s also the problem that the Republican Party has been in recent years too southern. In the last five presidential cycles, they’ve got 79 percent of their electoral votes from the South. It’s too much.
The Republican strategy for years has been carry the 11 states of the Confederacy, and Oklahoma and Kentucky, carry the eight states of Mountain West — Arizona and New Mexico to the Canadian border — then spend a sum equal to the gross national product of the Brazil to carry Ohio, and then you get to be president. That won’t work anymore, partly because Barack Obama did extend the battlefield. And that’s another question about Gov. Perry.
First, I do not dislike George Will. In my opinion he is a conservative opinion columnist. I disagree with him and reject his statement that the Republican Party is too southern. The picture of the Great Lake States above is the reason why I reject his premise. Other regions of the country have been more consistent in voting patterns than the Great Lake States, but I do not see a cultural prejudice against a “southern man” manifested in any region. I also don’t see a political prejudice against conservatism per se in the Great Lake States. If a candidate can articulate the conservative message effectively, then he can win votes in states in every region. Ronald Reagan is proof of this, and the good will he generated was enough for George H.W.Bush to win in 1988. Every time (except once), in my lifetime, a conservative GOP nominee won the general election votes for President. In 1964 conservative Barry Goldwater lost. There have been four moderate GOP nominees losers, and one big government GOP nominee had two close wins.
I do believe that the Great Lakes states need to have the GOP nominee visit, talk to them, and work to get their votes. The 2010 midterm elections are a great sign that voters in the Great Lake States can and do cast a majority of votes to elect conservatives. I think if the GOP nominee is Herman Cain or Rick Perry, then either one of them are savvy enough to work for votes in the Great Lake States. Below is listed potential VP selections for them to consider from each of the Great Lake States. The obvious top VPs are Governor Mitch Daniels and NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani as they both have a high profile. The other six are US Senators and US House members, and I included a video since they are less well-known. When the conservative message is delivered honestly and forthrightly, we win easily. When the message is muted and delivered without passion, then we lose. It’s just that simple, Mr. Will.
Great Lakes States = 134 electoral votes
1952 GOP won all 8 and won
1956 GOP won all 8 and won
1960 GOP won 3 of 8 and lost
1968 GOP won 4 of 8 and won
1976 GOP won 3 of 8 and lost
1980 GOP won 7 of 8 and won
1988 GOP won 5 of 8 and won
1992 GOP won 1 of 8 and lost
1996 GOP won 1 of 8 and lost
2000 GOP won 2 of 8 and barely won
2004 GOP won 2 of 8 and barely won
2008 GOP lost all 8 and lost
2010 GOP won 4 US Senate seats, 30 US House seats, and hold 5 of 8 Governor seats in Great Lakes States