Wednesday, September 22, 2021
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Wisconsin Democrat recall election night open thread

12th Senate District – 158 of 166 precincts (95%) reporting
45% – Kim Simac, R
55% – Sen. Jim Holperin, D — Dem winner

History:
[ 8:23PM ] 8 of 166: R44 – D56
[ 8:36PM ] 16 of 166: R44 – D56
[ 8:50PM ] 37 of 166: R48 – D52
[ 9:14PM ] 73 of 166: R46 – D54
[ 9:26PM ] 76 of 166: R46 – D54
[ 9:41PM ] 91 of 166: R46 – D54
[ 9:47PM ] 118 of 166: R47 – D53
[ 9:56PM ] 130 of 166: R46 – D54 – D winner declared
[10:17PM ] 131 of 166: R46 – D54
[11:08PM ] 158 of 166: R45 – D55

22nd Senate District – 100 of 100 precincts (100%) reporting
43% – Jonathan Steitz, R
57% – Sen. Robert Wirch, D — Dem winner

History:
[ 8:23PM ] 6 of 100: R53 – D47
[ 8:36PM ] 13 of 100: R56 – D44
[ 8:50PM ] 17 of 100: R55 – D45
[ 9:09PM ] 18 of 100: R55 – D45
[ 9:26PM ] 78 of 100: R45 – D55 – D winner declared
[ 9:26PM ] 99 of 100: R43 – D57
[10:21PM ] 100 of 100: R42 – D58

UPDATE 8:30PM – first results trickling in, about 5% reporting. Nothing to see yet.
UPDATE 8:40PM – 10% and 13% reporting, starting to take a little shape, although it is still very early. I confess no knowledge of what precincts and areas are blue or red. But so far, both races are bucking the prediction. Winning 22, losing 12.
UPDATE 8:55PM – about 20% reporting and both races tightening up. Don’t forget that Dems, particularly in union areas, like to hold a few precincts back till the end so they can know how many votes to make up at the end. The nationally recognized “margin of cheating”, the MOC, is 5%. If you are ahead by the MOC going into the last 15% of precincts, you may have broken though and won.
UPDATE 9:15PM – the #12 race is almost half reported, and our gal is trailing at 46-54. Not good. The #22 race for some reason is reporting in very slowly, but it has tightened up to 51-49.
UPDATE 9:32PM – and suddenly #22 evaporates, and we seem to have lost it. Crap. Weird how the precincts report in. Still behind in #12, 46-54.
UPDATE 9:47PM – #22 is a big loss, 43-57, much like predicted, even though it looked good in early reporting. #12 has not budged from the 46-54. Since 55% have reported in, this is starting to be very disheartening.
UPDATE 10:00PM – #12 stuck at 46-54 with 78% reporting in. Dem has been declared the winner. Even if that seems a little early, there’s no reason to think anything changes from here out. Crap.
UPDATE 10:45PM – there’s been one precinct reported in the last hour, still 35 out there. Either AP quit updating their results, or the Dems are busy ‘making sure’.
UPDATE 11:15PM – they finally got around to reporting more results. Yes, the Dems win this one in a walk. Bad day, but not bad enough to cry about. Overall, the Dems and the unions failed to do make good on their threats to punish Republicans for voting in the interests of the citizens of Wisconsin rather than feeding the open maw of the unions.
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ORIGINAL:

Today’s event in Wisconsin is the kind of thing that does not make headlines, so you might not have known or remembered. Last Tuesday 6 Republican state senators in swing districts faced recall elections, retaliation by the union thugs for passing legislation this spring that liberated teachers and school districts in a state long held fiscal hostage by the unions. Four of the 6 held their seats, meaning the 19-14 Republican majority was safely defended at 17-16.

Today, 2 Democrat senators in swing districts also face recalls, retaliation by the citizens for fleeing the state in order to deny a quorum and thereby stop the majorities from passing the legislation mentioned above. If they are both unseated by challengers tonight, then the Republicans restore the 19-14 majority they started this session off with.

What? Didn’t hear that announced by ABC Radio News at the top and bottom of every hour today? No…. you’re kidding.

OK, tonight I will keep this thread up to date with the election returns. The pre-election speculation is that District 12 is extremely competitive, but District 22 is more of a long shot for Republicans. So far, it’s 7:50pm Central, and the polls are already closed. No results reported yet…

… oh, and OPEN THREAD.

E Pluribus Unum
The weapons had evolved, but our orders remained the same: Hunt them down and kill them off, one by one. A most successful campaign. Perhaps too successful. For those like me, a Death Dealer, this signaled the end of an era. Like the weapons of the previous century, we, too, would become obsolete. Pity, because I lived for it.

12 COMMENTS

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12 COMMENTS

  1. What did the lib’s spend? Something like $35M to pick-up on 2 seats? IF we knock off one of their guys in addition to the 4 we retain we almost broken even and they spent $35M for that? More money than sense, could almost put the unions in the pour house.

  2. Well, District 22 is pretty much over – 94% in and Wirch up 56-44%. Kenosha makes up most of this district and it is *heavily* unionized with automobile plants. If there is a moral victory here its that the MOV was 11 points closer than in ’08.

    Now if District 12 would just shift by a similar margin….

      • I’ve been using the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel. The governing body, Government Accountability Board, has this note (at https://gab.wi.gov):

        For unofficial results of the recall elections in Senate Districts 12 and 22, please visit the websites of Wisconsin newspapers, television and radio stations who are members of the Associated Press. Official results will be available the week of August 22.

        Now there is a state bureaucracy that’s on the ball, I tell ya.

  3. Well, the NRA strikes again having endorsed Holperin in past elections. This District covers the northern part of Wisconsin where beer drinking and hunting is considered indispensable and Walker won it w/57% of the vote.

    Holperin is considered the most conservative Dem in the Senate (which I realize is akin to being the skinniest pig on the farm) and it would appear that he has kept this seat.

  1. What did the lib’s spend? Something like $35M to pick-up on 2 seats? IF we knock off one of their guys in addition to the 4 we retain we almost broken even and they spent $35M for that? More money than sense, could almost put the unions in the pour house.

  2. Well, District 22 is pretty much over – 94% in and Wirch up 56-44%. Kenosha makes up most of this district and it is *heavily* unionized with automobile plants. If there is a moral victory here its that the MOV was 11 points closer than in ’08.

    Now if District 12 would just shift by a similar margin….

      • I’ve been using the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel. The governing body, Government Accountability Board, has this note (at https://gab.wi.gov):

        For unofficial results of the recall elections in Senate Districts 12 and 22, please visit the websites of Wisconsin newspapers, television and radio stations who are members of the Associated Press. Official results will be available the week of August 22.

        Now there is a state bureaucracy that’s on the ball, I tell ya.

  3. Well, the NRA strikes again having endorsed Holperin in past elections. This District covers the northern part of Wisconsin where beer drinking and hunting is considered indispensable and Walker won it w/57% of the vote.

    Holperin is considered the most conservative Dem in the Senate (which I realize is akin to being the skinniest pig on the farm) and it would appear that he has kept this seat.

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