A successful presidential campaign must have about a million moving parts and I’m not experienced enough to analyze the internals. From a man in the street view, I can say this: a successful candidate has to be able to excite the base and attract the disengaged. He has to be able to give a rousing speech.
Say what you will about the President, that ability, whether inherent or enhanced by advance folks, the MSM and electronic tricks, greatly assisted his campaign a few years back.
I speak from experience here folks. Mr Reagan could give a stem-winder without shouting or pounding the podium, but he got ’em riled up. Ditto GWB, mostly in the aftermath of 9/11. Some in our present crop can do it as well. Obviously Gov Palin. Herman Cain. Michele Bachmann. The others, well maybe not so much. We all have our preferences, but a lot of the rest of our field kinda put me to sleep, as did Bush I and Clinton.
I’m pretty sure Mr Perry has it. The ability to bring a crowd to its feet, using word-pictures that evoke emotion. He has the look, the voice, the track record. And, going by memory, Mr. Perry did nicely in our local county straw-poll a couple of months back. Brian, am I right on this?
To me, he brings the positives of Gov Palin without her awful negatives, be they fair or unfair. It’s said he can unite the grassroots with the more establishment wing of the party, if not the Ruling Class Establishment. I also hear he’s a kick-ass campaigner & fundraiser. Wonder if he gets migraine headaches?
If/when he announces, he’ll face what Rush appropriately calls the anal exam. We’re already aware of a few negatives that will be exploited. But who on earth has lived in the public spotlight, holding high office for years on end, without making a boo-boo or two? Unless, of course, you simply vote present on everything…
It’s hard to argue with the facts regarding Texas during his tenure. He took on the Establishment last election, with the forces of Rove & Bush Inc against him and for Hutchinson, and won handily. The fact that his state stands head and shoulders above nearly all others, especially on jobs and economic freedom plays very well in today’s environment.
If he finds the money, I bet he gets in. Bret’s panel says automatic ‘first tier’. If he plays his cards right, lining up allies, future cabinet members and a VP pick, he may well be the one. Our own texasgalt says Perry’d go after candidate Obama with bare knuckles, which would be a new experience for the current President and something I would relish. And he can certainly speechify!
I’ve not jumped in for anyone yet, but I’ve donned my old man version of Speedos, kicking off the flip-flops, readying my award winning cannonball dive. Mr Perry, will you announce?