There is another CR (continuing resolution) vote due Friday, when the last one expires. Things do not look good that this drips-and-drabs budget cutting is going to continue. We are now within a month of facing a much larger vote over increasing the debt ceiling, which all these CR’s have been seen as a prelude to, anyway. According to Dr Dan Benishek, House freshman (MI-01) a one-week, $12B cut is the latest proposal.
Is this next vote the big showdown, or just another prelude to debt ceiling face-off? If the latter, then why so much hoopla among the media and talking heads now?
That remains to be saw (Festus on “Gunsmoke”) , but Paul Ryan is helping to set a new tone as things proceed, and that is important. (In fact, I have a Big Mac riding on the outcome and that the GOP will play its hand out this time.)
The answer seems to be from:Â 1) The Democrats can’t seem to find any more throwaways to offer House GOP so are looking more toward a stand-off, a government shutdown, as an easy way to contort the GOP as they did in 1995. Negotiations now are less about dollars and more about targeted cuts and the Dems aren’t about to give up abortion mills, voter fraud factories and other slaughterhouses; 2) The GOP Senate, all 47 of them!, have presented a Balanced Budget Amendment to the US Constitution, needing only 13 votes in the Senate and sure to pass overwhelmingly in the House. 3) House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan presented a whopper (not a Big Mac) of a proposed budget for the next fiscal year cutting current levels by over three trillion-with-a-T dollars.
And he did it in a, well, shall we say, sassy way.
All of a sudden the planets may be aligning up for a big fight Friday.
It’s not only true, the truth is obvious.
We have to let the Dems sound off, but quite frankly, they are not entitled to an opinion.
The Democrats abdicated any right to whine after they chose not to put forth a budget last year, on 1) the fear the people would like them less, being so close to an election (Wrong) and 2) they thought they could contort the GOP into any pretzel shape they wanted when crunch time finally came and this budget mess had to be settled once and for all. (Wrong again as it may turn out.)
If Ryun’s in-yer-face attitude is any indication, those pretzels are showing backbones.
We’ll see, but the next three days should be interesting.
Two days ago someone (probably the Dems)Â leaked that $30.5B was on the table, in what seemed to be an attempt to tie Mr Boehner and the GOP down to a blanket number. Instead Mr Boehner walked away, denying any deal had been struck. The devil’s in the details, and the details have to be the GOP’s suiting, or no deal.
Of course offers and counter-offers will continue to swirl. We’ll see all sorts of games being played, with leaks and rumors. Numbers will fly.
For instance, Tuesday afternoon, from Rush Limbaugh, there was talk of $78 billion on the table, only in unspecified cuts (remember the Dems think taxes they would have raised next year is a cut if they have to give that idea up this year) and again Boehner is reputed to have walked away. Congressional scuttlebutt, may be true, may be not. But so far, Mr Boehner says he isn’t budging. He wants specific things.
Last night, with the Fox News Panel; Charles, Myra and Jonah Goldberg, the news, the theme, the big deal, is a government shutdown, and the politics of it, nothing more. Charles thinks Obama has Mr Boehner boxed in, so will force a shutdown; advantage Obama/Democrats. Myra and Jonah think there will be no shutdown, but because Boehner will cave. Again, advantage Obama/Democrats.
But Ezra Klein the cub reporter from WaPo, who only recently read the Constitution, and didn’t like it…too many old words…big words, too, …thinks maybe it is Obama in the box, and that Obama may cave.
I think the Dems are in a box, in part because they must get Obama to acquiesce to any deal they strike, and Obama has not yet been told what to do by his principals.
So I think a shut down is likely, but Obama has to sell his own party out to bring it about.
So, what’s a win for us, anyway?
Many of you want a shut-down. Should we be afraid of one? My answer, no. But should we want one? Again, answer, no. In other words, should a shutdown be our end game? I think not.
There was never any doubt to many of us that the GOP could be the public opinion winner with a government shutdown. But that’s because we have a better sense of the pulse of voters out here. Even Mr Boehner knew (knows) that his stock will grow, not diminish, if he stands firm, and the Democrats refuse to give him the things he asks for. (No, Obamacare is not this thing. Sorry. Can’t happen…this way. But it will happen.) Mr Boehner’s uneasiness comes from another direction plus the natural fear any politician feels when he leads his troops off into uncharted waters.
Once we sense the Dems will not budge, I say damn Krauthammer and damn the whole Fox panel. I say, Damn the torpedoes and full speed ahead, (and I’ve been quoted by so many others). Die with your boots on (Custer). Hoka hey! (Crazy Horse, who removed Custer’s boots). Be sure you’re right, then go ahead. (Davey Crockett.) All that stuff. In other words, once you make a mark in the sand, you will be remembered for havingÂ stood your ground, nothing more.
But how about “This is our time,” spoken by Sean Astin in the Goonies and plagiarized by our fearless leader in 2008.
Only it doesn’t have to be our time to shut the government down. The Democrats will decide that. There is a bigger win here.
We have Mr Boehner’s back, and he will prevail if he understands his strength, and will withstand the withering onslaught from the Cowards-not-entitled-to-Speak (surely the Mohawk have a name for that) or the media by dragging out sad stories of Dept of Ag GS-10’s having to cancel their cottage rental on the Cape this summer.
If every day the GOP will meet the microphone and the press the same way Ryun put out his budget, in your face, they…and the public…will get to see a spectacle we’ve wanted to see for thirty years…namely, Democrats quaking inÂ their boots.
This is our time…
…to be able to watch the Democrats writhe in their own mire, and sweat and wriggle, and to have every pious incantation (Hell, my kids know them by heart from the Reagan years) about starving widows, the children, the poor, the incontinent, thrown back in their face, with a “Yeah, so ask GE who’s the party of Big Business, Stenny. Ask Chase and Bank of America who’s the party of Big Banks, Nan. And while yer at it, prove your math as to how we can keep paying for this boondoogle without raising taxes to the 88% line.”
I believe when a bad man is down, kick him. Don’t help him get up. Kick him. As Art Chance says, this is hard ball politics, and Republicans have been on the butt end of that joke for fifty years in Washington. Enough of Mr Nice Guy, we are stomping on serpents here, not men.
Do this, and as with Scott Walker in Wisconsin, by no particular alignment of the planets, all the forces allied against our Republic will just suddenly appear, to remind the People even more of the sort of tyranny they hope to impose. They “jest can’t hep it,” (Gov Ma Richards, Texas) and any sense that the People had fallen back off into a slumber will end.
When the stupid people hit the streets as they did in Wisconsin, know you’ve won, Mr Boehner.
This is not about shutting down the government. This is about stomping serpents’ headsÂ in the dirt. This is about winning.
This is our time…
…to pull that goddam star off the Capitol Dome.
However you can get that done is all right by me, Mr Boehner.